Congressional Budget Office — The Budget and Economic Outlook: 2026 to 2036 ↗
Federal outlookBaseline deficits, revenues, outlays, interest, and debt held by the public. Published February 11, 2026.
Every major claim is tied to a public source and a date. Projections are scenarios based on law and assumptions—not promises. We separate historical data from current-law projections and label each measure precisely.
Baseline deficits, revenues, outlays, interest, and debt held by the public. Published February 11, 2026.
Daily gross public debt and its public/intragovernmental components. Used for current-dollar context; projections use CBO’s measure.
Historical federal receipts, outlays, deficits, and debt relative to GDP.
Spending minus revenue during a period, usually one fiscal year.
Treasury securities held outside federal government accounts. CBO favors this measure for analyzing economic effects.
Debt held by the public plus Treasury securities held by federal trust funds and other government accounts. It is larger than debt held by the public.
Dollar values are nominal unless noted. Comparisons use federal fiscal years and CBO’s February 2026 current-law baseline. Figures are rounded for readability, so components may not sum precisely.
Forecasts change with legislation, markets, interest rates, inflation, court decisions, and technical updates. A current-law baseline is a reference path, not a prediction of political behavior. The site deliberately avoids a single “collapse date,” per-capita gimmicks, and comparisons that mix debt measures.
Editorial rule: lead with official or independent government sources; distinguish current data from projections; display the source date; explain uncertainty; correct material errors transparently.
After you choose to make the hosted preview public, connect the GoDaddy domain with these steps. The exact DNS values will appear in the hosting dashboard when the custom domain is added.
Important: Do not change the domain’s nameservers unless the hosting dashboard explicitly requires it. DNS record changes are normally sufficient.